This situation is serious, and the risk of prison time is real.
A DWI 3rd or more is usually charged as a felony in many states. When you add a probation violation on top of that, the court is going to look at it much more harshly because it shows a pattern and failure to follow prior orders.
Here is what is working against him:
Because of that, yes, prison is a strong possibility.
How long could he face?
It depends on several things:
In many cases like this:
One important factor: his alcohol problem
His history clearly shows a substance abuse issue. If his attorney can push for:
It may help, but it does not eliminate the risk of incarceration, especially with repeat offenses.
What to expect next:
Bottom line
With repeated DWI offenses and a probation violation, courts tend to move toward incarceration to protect public safety. The exact length is hard to predict, but it is very possible he will be facing a significant amount of time unless there is a strong legal or treatment based alternative presented.
Thank you for trying AMP!
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