At 15 years old, his age opens the door to juvenile detention as an alternative to a standard jail placement, but it does not guarantee it. Where he is housed and how long he serves depends heavily on how he conducts himself from this point forward.
If he maintains good behavior throughout his sentence, he stands a reasonable chance of earning time off through good time credit, potentially reducing an 18 to 36 month sentence meaningfully. Juvenile facilities generally have structured programs designed to support rehabilitation, and participation in those programs can also factor favorably into early release considerations.
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