Is the Projected Release Date Final After Parole Denial?

The projected release date is the most reliable number you have at this point. When a parole denial is issued, the state recalculates and posts a release date that already factors in any good time credits and earned time he has accumulated. It is not a raw sentence end date with time still to be shaved off. What you see is what the system currently calculates as his release.

That said, a few things could still shift it. If he picks up a disciplinary infraction between now and December, it could push the date back. On the other side, some facilities have emergency release provisions tied to overcrowding, though those are unpredictable and not something to plan around. A successful appeal of the parole denial is another avenue, but those take time and are not guaranteed.

For practical purposes, plan around the December 16 date. It is not guaranteed to the day, as administrative processing can sometimes cause a one or two day variance, but it is the target. Start thinking now about reentry logistics, housing, any supervision requirements he will have post-release, and what support he will need in those first weeks out.